Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction for July 25

After a sharp rejection from the $3,860 mark earlier this week, Ethereum price today is stabilizing just above $3,640. The recent breakdown from its ascending channel has shifted near-term sentiment toward caution, as ETH consolidates beneath several key resistance levels.

What’s Happening With Ethereum’s Price?

Ethereum recently exited a rising channel that supported its rally from mid-July. After peaking near $3,860, price broke below the channel’s lower boundary and is now retesting prior support as resistance. The 1-hour RSI is recovering slightly near 50.40, suggesting stabilization, but there is still no confirmed trend reversal.

ETH price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

Weekly Fibonacci levels show ETH facing rejection at the 0.786 retracement level around $3,525. While the higher time frame trend remains bullish, this zone now acts as strong resistance until decisively reclaimed.

Why Is The Ethereum Price Going Down Today?

ETH price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

The primary reason why Ethereum price going down today is the failure to hold above the $3,800 zone, where both horizontal resistance and the upper Bollinger Band intersected. That rejection led to a pullback into the $3,600 range.

The 30-minute chart shows price forming a symmetrical triangle between $3,560 and $3,700, a pattern that typically resolves with a strong breakout. However, with RSI still neutral and the Parabolic SAR above price, short-term traders remain hesitant.

On the 30-minute timeframe, DMI shows a weak directional bias, with ADX flattening and -DI still above +DI. This confirms consolidation rather than a trending structure. Meanwhile, the Supertrend remains red and flipped bearish near $3,740, reinforcing the need for a breakout to regain bullish control.

ETH Derivative Analysis (Source: Coinglass)

Derivatives data from Coinglass reflects this caution. Volume is down 13.55% to $120.30B, while open interest has dropped by 4.04% to $54.27B. More telling is the 25% fall in options volume, indicating a cooldown in speculative momentum. Despite this, Binance and OKX top trader long/short ratios remain above 1.6, suggesting many still favor upward continuation.

ETH Price Action Signals Resistance Cluster Near $3,700

ETH price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

Volume Profile data on the daily chart shows a key Point of Control around $3,299, while ETH is currently floating well above that. However, the highest volume node near $3,800–$3,860 remains a critical rejection zone. Ethereum must break through this to continue its broader trend.

ETH price dynamics (Source: TradingView)

The Bollinger Bands on the 4-hour chart are also starting to compress, and the price is nestled between the midline and lower band. The most immediate resistance lies at $3,708, while support comes in around $3,545 and $3,500.

On the 4-hour chart, Ethereum price is trading just below the 20 EMA at $3,669 and hugging the middle Bollinger Band. The 50 EMA lies at $3,545 and has acted as dynamic support. Candles are tightening between $3,545 and $3,708, hinting at a potential volatility breakout in the next 24 hours.

Ethereum Price Prediction: Short-Term Outlook (24H)

In the short term, Ethereum price is likely to remain range-bound unless a breakout from the symmetrical triangle occurs. A sustained move above $3,708 with volume could push ETH toward $3,830 and then $4,000. If rejected again, bears may drag price down to retest $3,545 and $3,500.

If $3,500 fails to hold, the next demand zone lies at $3,300, where the 100 EMA and high-volume node offer confluence support. As Bollinger Bands and RSI continue to flatten, traders should watch for a decisive breakout above $3,700 or a breakdown below $3,545 to gauge the next trend.

Ethereum Price Forecast Table: July 25, 2025