is a crash to $26.53 next?

After reaching an all-time high near $45, Hyperliquid is now undergoing a sharp correction. With key support still untested, further downside remains likely before any trend reversal.

Hyperliquid (HYPE) is currently navigating a corrective phase following a significant run-up that topped out near $45. Since then, the asset has been in a steady downtrend, seeking to establish a higher low. However, current price action suggests that a bottom has not yet formed, and the ongoing correction could deepen until high-timeframe support levels, notably around $26.53, are tested. Until then, volatility and weakness may persist.

Key technical points

• Current Support: Value Area High region; potential for minor bounce, but unlikely to hold.
• Major Support Zone: $26.53; aligns with 0.618 Fibonacci retracement and Point of Control.
• All-Time High: $45; now acting as macro resistance after sharp reversal.
• RSI Reading: Below 50 and not yet oversold; further downside likely before recovery.

The recent downtrend began after Hyperliquid set a new all-time high just under the $45 mark. Since that peak, price has continued trending downward, with no confirmed higher low or trend reversal. The current region being tested, the Value Area High, is not a major support zone, suggesting that any bounce here is likely to be short-lived and more corrective than bullish.

The technical picture implies that the market is still in search of a meaningful support base. The next critical level lies at $26.53, which is supported by strong technical confluence: the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement from the previous major leg up, as well as the Point of Control, an area of highest volume traded. This makes $26.53 the most significant level to watch for a potential bottom.

The RSI is also playing an important role in this structure. Currently below the 50 midline, it signals bearish momentum and suggests that further downside is likely until oversold conditions are officially reached. A drop into that oversold region would coincide well with a test of the $26.53 support and would offer the technical foundation for a meaningful higher low to form.

Until such a confluence occurs, price action is likely to remain weak and subject to further correction. Traders should remain cautious in assuming a bottom is in without confirmation from volume, structure, and indicator signals.

What to expect in the coming price action

Hyperliquid is still in corrective mode and has yet to confirm a higher low. Until the $26.53 support zone is tested and oversold RSI conditions are met, downside risk remains in play. This level could mark the foundation for a new bullish leg, but it hasn’t arrived yet.